Stepwise forward selection was used to select independent predictors of the event occurrence, with 0.50 and 0.15 as P-values for entry into the model and being retained in the selleck kinase inhibitor model, respectively. Known recorded risk factors for the SNA events were forced into the model [25]. Thus, smoking status, diabetes mellitus and hyperlipidaemia were forced into the cardiovascular events model;

hyperlipidaemia, HBV and HBC coinfections and alcohol abuse were forced into the model for terminal liver conditions; and smoking status was forced into the non-AIDS malignancies model. All of the former factors were forced into the model that estimated risk for SNA as a composite outcome. In addition, the indicator of ever received antiretroviral treatment was always forced into the models because all the variables associated with antiretroviral treatment were defined as interactions; i.e. 0 or missing if never treated. The following variables were considered as potential predictors: race, mode of transmission, HIV infection history, immunological factors and exposure to antiretroviral treatment. Although age and gender

are known to be associated with most non-AIDS events, they were not included in the models ABT-888 cell line because they were used as matching variables. As of February 2008, 6007 patients had been included in the LATINA retrospective cohort, with a mean of 3.2 years and a median of 2.5 years of follow-up. Of the 6007 patients, 30% were women and 21% had a history of AIDS-defining conditions before the baseline visit. The incidence of AIDS events was 4.7 per 100 person-years

of follow-up. A total of 130 patients had an SNA event (94 confirmed and 36 probable) and were defined as cases, with an incidence rate of 8.6 events per 1000 person-years (95% CI 7.2, 10.0). Twenty-eight of these patients (21%) were female. Forty patients (30.7%) had a cardiovascular condition [11 had an MI (five confirmed), 13 had cardiovascular disease requiring an invasive procedure and 16 had a stroke (nine confirmed); incidence of cardiovascular events: 2.2 events per 1000 person-years (95% CI 1.5, 2.9)]; 54 patients (41.5%) had liver failure/cirrhosis (34 confirmed) [incidence: 2.9 events per 1000 person-years (95% CI 2.1, 3.7)]; 35 patients (27%) had a non-AIDS-defining malignancy (34 confirmed) Staurosporine [incidence 1.9 events per 1000 person-years (95% CI 1.2, 2.5)] and two (1.5%) had terminal renal insufficiency (both confirmed). One patient experienced simultaneously a liver failure and a cardiovascular disease. The median time of follow-up until the index date for cases and controls was 1.42 and 2.45 years, respectively (P=0.12; univariate conditional logistic regression). Table 1 compares the general characteristics of all cases and controls. The frequency of injecting drug use was significantly higher in the cases (P=0.001), as were the frequencies of histories of some traditional risk factors such as HCV coinfection (P<0.